Aerospace Garage

Market Forecast

Airbus Targets One-Fifth of Regional Deliveries for Turkish Aviation Market

Airbus projects that Turkey will account for 20% of all commercial aircraft deliveries in the Europe and CIS region over the next 20 years, highlighting the country's central role in fleet expansion.

Aerospace Garage desk

The latest market outlook from Airbus positions Turkey as a primary driver of aerospace growth within the broader Eurasian corridor. By forecasting that one-fifth of all narrowbody and widebody deliveries for the Europe and CIS region will flow into the Turkish market, the manufacturer underscores the aggressive capacity expansion plans of the nation's major carriers. This demand is fueled by the strategic development of Istanbul as a global megahub and the continued scaling of low-cost subsidiaries targeting both domestic and medium-haul international routes.

This concentration of demand suggests a significant shift in regional supply chain and MRO priorities. As Turkey absorbs a massive influx of New Generation aircraft, including the A321neo and A350 families, the local industrial ecosystem is expected to deepen its integration with European manufacturing. The scale of this transition necessitates a parallel investment in local technical training and support infrastructure to maintain high utilization rates. This sustained procurement pace ensures that Turkey remains a critical sovereign partner in the long-term backlog of major airframers.

What to watch: Firm orders and delivery slots secured by major Turkish carriers in the 2024-2026 fiscal cycles.

Strategy deskTürkiye and Eastern Europe19 Oct 2026