Aerospace Garage

INTELLIGENCE · MARKET PULSE · Issue 4 · 12 Nov 2026

Market Pulse

OAG schedules show November airline seats up 11.4% in Central Asia and 8.0% in North Africa, while the Middle East is 13.2% lower, against a world figure of +0.9%. Türkiye's airports handled 23.6 million passengers in October, taking the January to October total to 216.8 million, up 2.5% on 2025. Cathay ordered 14 more Airbus aircraft, and Oman Air and GMF AeroAsia opened a joint maintenance company in Muscat.

Where it happened

● Mid & Emerging Markets

Click a region to see its developments

World map highlighting Mid & Emerging Markets

Map figures: the passenger demand tile for each region, same figure and period; regions without a tile show their name only.

Mid & Emerging Markets regions

At a glance

Middle East passenger demand

−8.0% ↓

World −0.5%

Trend →

Latin American passenger demand

+4.3% ↑

World −0.5%

Oct 2025Sep 2026
Trend →

African passenger demand

+5.0% ↑

World −0.5%

Oct 2025Sep 2026
Trend →

New aircraft orders from Mid & Emerging Markets

10 aircraft ↓

vs Sep 2026: −128

World 367 aircraft

Trend from 3 readings

Trend →

Middle East load factor

78.2% ↓

vs Aug 2026: −0.7 pts

World 83.2%

Oct 2025Sep 2026
Trend →

Jet fuel price

US$184.6/bbl ↓

vs Oct 2026: −2%

 

Dec 2025Nov 2026
Trend →

Indicators

IndicatorMid & Emerging MarketsTrend
Middle East passenger demandWorld −0.5% · Sep 2026−8.0% ↓Trend →

Developments

Gulf and Middle East · Oman Air and Indonesia's GMF AeroAsia opened Oman GMF Technic, a maintenance joint venture at Muscat airport, serving local airlines first

Gulf and Middle East · Lesha Bank is selling six A380s to Emirates; two delivered, four to follow by April 2028 as leases end

North Africa · EgyptAir opened bookings for Cairo-Chicago and Cairo-Los Angeles, three weekly A350-900s each, from 28 March 2027

Sub-Saharan Africa · Ethiopian Airlines raises Addis Ababa-Kano from 11 to 14 weekly flights from 2 December 2026

Coverage by region and sources

Gulf and Middle East

TR-ME (Traffic) · CG-ME (Cargo) · LF-ME (Capacity & load factor) · CP-ME (Capacity & load factor) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · PR-ME (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

North Africa

TR-AF (Traffic) · CG-AF (Cargo) · LF-AF (Capacity & load factor) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · CP-NAF (Capacity & load factor) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

Sub-Saharan Africa

TR-AF (Traffic) · CG-AF (Cargo) · LF-AF (Capacity & load factor) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

South Asia

TR-AP (Traffic) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · CG-AP (Cargo) · LF-AP (Capacity & load factor) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

Southeast Asia and the Pacific Islands

TR-AP (Traffic) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · CG-AP (Cargo) · LF-AP (Capacity & load factor) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

China and South Korea

TR-AP (Traffic) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · CG-AP (Cargo) · LF-AP (Capacity & load factor) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

Central Asia, the Caucasus and Mongolia

FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · CP-CAS (Capacity & load factor) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

Türkiye and Eastern Europe

FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

Latin America and the Caribbean

TR-LA (Traffic) · CG-LA (Cargo) · LF-LA (Capacity & load factor) · FL-ORD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-DEL (Fleet & deliveries) · MR-DEALS (Other) · FU-JET (Other) · OT-AL (Other) · FL-BKL (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-EMB (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-BBD (Fleet & deliveries) · FL-GD (Fleet & deliveries)

IndicatorSourcePeriod
FL-BBDBombardier via AIN, 5 Nov 2026Q3 2026
FL-EMBEmbraer via AirDataNews, 2 Oct 2026Q3 2026
FL-GDGeneral Dynamics via AeroTime, 30 Oct 2026Q3 2026
TR-DXBDubai Airports via GDN Online, Q2 2026Q2 2026
FL-DASDassault Aviation via Euronext, 22 Jul 202612 Nov 2026
FU-JETIATA Jet Fuel Price Monitor, Nov 202612 Nov 2026
PR-MEIATA outlook, 7 Jun 202612 Nov 2026
SP-LAUNCHFlightAtlas, 12 Nov 202612 Nov 2026
CP-CASOAG, Nov 2026Nov 2026
CP-MEOAG, Nov 2026Nov 2026
MR-DEALSAviation Week and AviTrader, 9-11 Nov 2026Nov 2026
CP-NAFOAG, Nov 2026Nov 2026
OT-ALCirium via Aviacion al Dia, 5 Nov 2026Oct 2026
FL-ORDAirbus and Boeing data via AirDataNews, 6 and 10 Nov 2026Oct 2026
TR-TRDHMI via Yeni Asir, 7 Nov 2026Oct 2026
CG-AFIATA, 29 Oct 2026Sep 2026
LF-AFIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-AFIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
FL-DELAirbus and Boeing monthly data via AirDataNewsSep 2026
CG-APIATA, 29 Oct 2026Sep 2026
LF-APIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-APIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
DM-BRIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-BRANAC via AEROIN, 20 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-CNCAAC via CAPA, 20 Oct 2026Sep 2026
DM-CNIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
FL-COMACAirDataNews, 15 Oct 2026Sep 2026
DM-INIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-INDGCA via Business Today, 27 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-IDBPS via InfoPublik, 3 Nov 2026Sep 2026
CG-LAIATA, 29 Oct 2026Sep 2026
LF-LAIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-LAIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
CG-MEIATA, 29 Oct 2026Sep 2026
LF-MEIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
TR-MEIATA, 30 Oct 2026Sep 2026
FL-BKLSum: Airbus 9310 (Airbus 9M 2026 results release (end Sep 2026; incl. 2 A330 on operating lease)) + Boeing 6371 (AeroTime quoting Reuters, Oct 2026 (official backlog, end Sep 2026))Sep 2026
CG-CNMinistry of Transport via Chinabaogao, 15 Sep 2026Jul 2026
CG-INAAI via India Seatrade News, Aug 2026Jun 2026
SF-YTDAviation Safety Network database, fatal airliner accidents in the nine regions2026

What it means for you

Airlines and MROs in the Gulf

A new Muscat maintenance venture widens local choice for checks

Talk to us →

Operators in Central Asia and North Africa

Seat growth well above the world needs crews, spares and line support

Submit a bottleneck →

Suppliers and practitioners

Engine and fleet deals in China and Hong Kong open support work

Join the bench →

Archive

Consulting

Fleet, route or airport bottleneck?

Practitioners scope it in writing, with fixed fees per milestone paid on acceptance.

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